Scouting JMU…again
Posted by TTHS on February 5th, 2007
Didn’t I just do this? Scroll down the page a little for some hardly changed stats, so now I’ll focus on game odds and JMU’s last game. The Dukes are coming off a win, their 7th of the year and their 4th in the conference. They beat Delaware in Newark, completing the sweep with a 69-64 win.
JMU was carried by JuCo transfer Terrence Carter, who scored 28 of their 69 points. He was 9-20 from the field and 9-14 from the foul stripe, carrying the team and picking up a double-double with 12 rebounds. Joe Posey also had a solid game scoring 13 and going 5-10 from the field.
The Dukes shot 47% from the field and 41% from 3, while UD shot 50% and 35% respectively. JMU got out-rebounded, 30-27, but kept down the turnovers with 6 less than UDel. JMU beat them at points in the paint, 2nd chance points, fast break points, and bench points. They did, however, have 2 player foul out, which could come into play Wednesday night.
JMU is 294 in the RPI after their win, but it is still last in the CAA. They are 264 in the Pomeroy Rating, which gives them a 42% chance of winning. Mike Greenfield has them pegged at 277, giving W&M the slight edge in spread and giving the Dukes a 49% chance at winning.
This game is pretty much a toss-up. If Kisielius is a “go”, the Tribe’s chance is significantly better, but that is no better than 50-50 right now. However, the Tribe has beaten JMU in the last 5 match-ups, and I’m not picking against them until they prove me wrong.
W&M-65
JMU-63
Go Tribe!